Jesse Fischer

I graduated from the University of Washington with a BS in Computer Engineering and a minor in Math. Go Huskies! As a Senior Software Engineer at Amazon, my day job consists of solving hard problems while building large scale software systems. On the weekends you'll often find me playing around with machine learning and software. While I should be using this time to enhance my automated stock trading program, instead I often end up using this free time to dabble in sports analytics where I am able to combine my 3 biggest passions: sports+software+analytics. Feel free to contact me if you want to hear more.

Recent posts

• Jesse Fischer • July 31, 2021

  2021 NBA Draft Analytics

  Probabilistic Draft Modeling

• Jesse Fischer • April 18, 2021

  2021 WNBA Draft Analytics

  PLUM Draft Model

• Jesse Fischer • February 21, 2021

  NFL Big Data Bowl - Ghost Defender

  Using tracking data to learn optimal pass coverage movement and positioning

• Jesse Fischer • February 7, 2021

  NFL Big Data Bowl - PassNet

  Using Convolutional Neural Networks to predict pass play outcomes in real-time

• Jesse Fischer • November 14, 2020

  2020 NBA Draft Analytics

  Probabilistic Draft Modeling

• Jesse Fischer • September 19, 2020

  Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling

  How to improve our prior by incorporating additional information?

• Jesse Fischer • September 6, 2020

  Empirical Bayes-ketball

  Applying Empirical Bayes to basketball

• Jesse Fischer • April 12, 2020

  2020 WNBA Draft Analytics

  PLUM Draft Model

• Jesse Fischer • June 16, 2019

  2019 NBA Draft Analytics

  Probabilistic Draft Modeling

• Jesse Fischer • June 1, 2019

  What is the true impact of a player?

  Player Impact Stats: Innovative insight by applying RAPM to other stats beyond points

• Jesse Fischer • May 26, 2019

  How accurate are advanced stat estimates?

  Understanding weaknesses of your data

• Jesse Fischer • May 3, 2019

  Women's Bayesian Adjusted RAPM

  NCAA Women's Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus

• Jesse Fischer • April 27, 2019

  Bayesian Adjusted RAPM

  NCAA Men's Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus

• Jesse Fischer • April 20, 2019

  2019 WNBA Draft Analytics

  PLUM Draft Model

• Jesse Fischer • October 20, 2018

  Women's NCAA Basketball RAPM

  Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus

• Jesse Fischer • October 5, 2018

  NCAA Basketball RAPM

  Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus

• Jesse Fischer • June 10, 2018

  2018 NBA Draft Analytics

  Probabilistic Draft Modeling

• Jesse Fischer • April 11, 2018

  2018 WNBA Draft Analytics

  PLUM Model v2

• Jesse Fischer • April 13, 2017

  PLUM WNBA Draft Model

  Kelsey Plum - You are an inspiration...

• Jesse Fischer • March 22, 2017

  Sweet 16 Preview

  JAM Tourney Update

• Jesse Fischer • March 15, 2017

  Modeling NCAA Basketball

  Introduction to JAM - Jesse's Analytical Model

• Jesse Fischer • March 13, 2017

  Selection Committee Analytics

  How about those seeds?

• Jesse Fischer • March 12, 2017

  Selection Committee Analytics

  RPI vs. The Numbers - How did the selection committee do?

• Jesse Fischer • June 19, 2016

  Longevity Draft Model

  Now factors in individual game performances!

• Jesse Fischer • July 26, 2015

  How to compare historical draft rankings?

  Draft Rank Value (DRV) - A new metric to objectively compare draft rankings

• Jesse Fischer • April 6, 2015

  One Shining Moment

  March Madness Models - Final Picks

• Jesse Fischer • April 5, 2015

  Show me the money!

  March Madness Models - Money Line Model

• Jesse Fischer • April 4, 2015

  This betting thing is indeed hard

  March Madness Models - Elite 8/Final 4 Recap

• Jesse Fischer • March 28, 2015

  Down to the Elite

  March Madness Models - Elite 8 Picks

• Jesse Fischer • March 27, 2015

  The round of 16 wasn't so sweet in Vegas

  March Madness Models - Sweet 16 Recap

• Jesse Fischer • March 25, 2015

  Let's make some more picks!

  March Madness Models - Sweet 16 Picks

• Jesse Fischer • March 24, 2015

  Did we win any money in Vegas?

  March Madness Models - Opening Weekend Recap

• Jesse Fischer • March 18, 2015

  Let's make some March Madness bets!

  March Madness Models - Round of 64 ATS

• Jesse Fischer • March 15, 2015

  When do NBA teams change possession timing behavior?

  Possession Timing 101 - Possession Length Correlation

• Jesse Fischer • March 11, 2015

  When should a team shoot to maximize points?

  Possession Timing 101 - Introduction to PAP/NPD

• Jesse Fischer • February 18, 2015

  When should a team shoot to maximize possessions?

  Possession Timing 101 - Introduction to NPA

• Jesse Fischer • February 17, 2015

  Possession Timing 101

  Multi-part series introduction

• Jesse Fischer • February 15, 2015

  Optimizing End Of Quarter Shot-Timing In The NBA

  Everyone Knows About The 2 For 1, But What About The 3 For 2?

• Jesse Fischer • July 6, 2014

  Are hot new data trends actually making NBA teams dumber?

  Analyzing past, present, and future market inefficiencies in the NBA Draft

• Jesse Fischer • June 25, 2014

  What is the NBA equivalent of the "tall cornerback"?

  Finding market inefficiencies in the NBA

• Jesse Fischer • June 23, 2014

  More 2014 Draft Analysis

  Who will live up to the hype?

• Jesse Fischer • June 22, 2014

  2014 Draft Analysis

  Machine learning models love Aaron Craft

• Jesse Fischer • June 22, 2014

  Model Projections for 2014 Draftees

• Jesse Fischer • June 17, 2014

  Using machine learning to predict the long-term value of NBA draftees